Chiefs vs. Giants prediction, odds, line, time: 2025 NFL Week 3 Sunday Night Football picks by top model

 

The SportsLine Projection Model has revealed its Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants Sunday Night Football matchup from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J.

The Kansas City Chiefs will look to rebound when they face the New York Giants on Sunday Night Football. Kansas City (0-2), the nine-time defending AFC West champion, is off to its worst start since 2012 after falling 20-17 to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2. The Giants (0-2) also remain winless, dropping a heartbreaking 40-37 overtime battle to the Dallas Cowboys.

Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. Kansas City has won the last two matchups, including a 20-17 victory in 2021. The Chiefs enter as 6-point favorites, with the total points line set at 44.5. On the money line, Kansas City is listed at -319 (bet $319 to win $100).

Why Kansas City Can Cover!

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes, now in his ninth season, remains the engine of the Chiefs’ offense. The league MVP and Super Bowl champion has already thrown for 32,797 yards and 247 touchdowns in his career, adding 2,366 rushing yards and 16 scores on the ground. Tight end Travis Kelce continues to be a key playmaker, posting 108 receiving yards, a touchdown, and two explosive plays through the first two weeks.

Why New York Can Cover!

The Giants are led by veteran quarterback Russell Wilson, in his first season with the team. Wilson has passed for 618 yards and three touchdowns while also leading the team in rushing with 67 yards. Rookie running back Cam Skattebo, a fourth-round pick out of Arizona State, has shown flashes as well, including a touchdown performance against Dallas.

Betting Insights!

SportsLine’s advanced projection model, which has generated more than $7,000 in profit for $100 bettors, is leaning Under 44.5 points in this matchup. The model also indicates that one side of the spread covers in over 50% of simulations.

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